Sean t rcp twitter

When stars like Bryan Cranston and Aaron Paul or Sean Hayes and Eric McCormack remind us that they're off-screen besties, it casts a warm glow over the legacy of their shows.

Find Sean Trende's email address, contact information, LinkedIn, Twitter, other social media and more. For PR Pros Overview; Media Database; ... The information revealed so far about Twitter's internal deliberations shows that the company's content moderation decisions were often justified on grounds that the decision-makers themselves found ...1 Mar 2018 ... Christian Greico breaks down his win in the Toyota Series Northern Division event on the Potomac River. Additionally, he goes in-depth on ...01 Nov 2022 23:09:39“McAuliffe starting to get some more results above the line. Also, moving the threshold up to 85% reporting. City of Richmond hasn't started to come in yet, and Fairfax is still largely outstanding. This is still very interesting.”Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“Here in the real world Silver gives Demings a 1-in-17 chance of beating Rubio, but sure, why not?”May 27, 2022 · “If you don't want to know about the horse race, it's a big internet! Lots of people write about policy. In fact, there are more of them than there are of us, in part because there's no real mystery about the types of policy the GOP will at least nominally pursue. 3/”

“@kkondik Yeah, the shift in the non-urban, non -Deep South over the past 20 years is probably the most consequential — and least well understood — shifts of our lifetime.”Are you a fan of Sean Hannity and don’t want to miss out on his latest episodes? With the advancements in technology, you no longer have to rely solely on your television to catch up with your favorite shows.Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.“On cultural issues, this will be, at least for the present, quite "liberal," but on economic issues, especially regarding things like the deficit, it will tend to be reasonably centrist, or even center-right. On foreign policy it will tend to …Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende The losses this term were really aggressive asks on the VRA and ISL. and even there Kav and Roberts left a trail of crumbs on how to get to the desired outcome next time.Twitter is one of the most popular social media platforms out there — and even though it’s relaxed the 140-character limit a little bit, there’s still not a ton of room to get your point across, so effective marketing is crucial.On April 25, 2022, Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, struck a tentative deal, purchasing Twitter for $44 billion. While he isn’t the first billionaire to step into a media-adjacent space, the move leaves users and members of the general p...

“Alright, Florida (mostly), Georgia, IN-01, Western KY, SC, VT and VA are on deck. Then at 8, all hell breaks loose.”Log in. Sign uppic.twitter.com/xNtqwDFe0B — Sean T at RCP is a free elf (@SeanTrende) November 9, 2022. In House races rated as tossup or "lean" by 538, Democrats …“@JenRodbowers @BenjySarlin The R won by 10 points in a district that went for Romney by 2 and Clinton by 7. I don't want to overstate the importance but I don't think you can just dismiss it as "the district leaned R anyway" either.”Jun 1, 2022 · “Any of the remaining three presents a strong case, to my mind. I don't think it's AotC though. OK, fine, "I don't like sand" is arguably the worst or second worst line in all Star Wars history. But if you pull the Padme/Anakin romance and ninja Yoda stuff, it isn't terrible. 2/”

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What occurred wasn’t a failure of the polls. As with Brexit, it was a failure of punditry. Pundits saw Clinton with a 1.9 percent lead in Pennsylvania and assumed she would win. The correct ...... sean, Dget norms for iti, Adolescent clothing, 841n dd wrt repeater, Dove grey color code, Moonwalker thriller dance, Hopkins kovalev 24/7 hbo, Recycling ...When stars like Bryan Cranston and Aaron Paul or Sean Hayes and Eric McCormack remind us that they're off-screen besties, it casts a warm glow over the legacy of their shows.Sean Hannity is a conservative talk show host who can be heard on the radio, on his podcasts and on his own show on Fox News. There are a couple ways that you can try and get in contact with him, if you so desire.

“But if things get much worse for Dems and Republicans start to flip Biden 55/56/57 seats (in expectation) the losses can pile up very quickly. Basically around R+5 or so, the levy breaks. 3/3”Apr 16, 2021 · In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users Oct 22, 2022 · “I think these analyses provide useful context on where this election stands. The biggest limitation on these analyses isn't that the GOP holds a large number of seats to begin. It is that they describe linear relationships between seat gain which probably don't hold this cycle.” "There are obviously answers to all of this -- if there weren't I would not have led with him losing four of five times or so. The point is, though, that he's not THAT far off where he needs to be to be back in this. 9/9"Nov 3, 2021 · Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende · Nov 3, 2021 Replying to @SeanTrende suggesting that Trump's '20 gains among Hispanic are potentially sticking. Swings from 2020 are in working class townships, suggesting continued movement for voters there. If there's a silver lining for Ds, its that the wealthier townships in the northwest didn't move as much. “I think a lot of problems with Rhaenys Targaryen not incinerating the Greens comes from the weird gender politics the show has embraced. One of the interesting thing about GOT was it wasn't afraid to make the female characters as crazy and murderous as the men. 1/”Sean Hannity, the popular conservative political commentator and author, has never been divorced. There were allegations spreading concerning his divorce, however, these allegations turned out to be merely rumors. He has been married to his...In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersSean T at RCP. @SeanTrende. So the shifts in New Jersey should be much more concerning to Democrats than the more-or-less uniform swing we saw in Virginia. …“One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/”

Sean Hannity has been married to Jill Rhodes since 1993. Hannity is a FOX News Channel host, conservative political commentator and author. Rhodes formerly worked as a columnist for the Huntsville Times. The pair have two children together.

“@sahilkapur @RobGeorge @EsotericCD On 2), I never understood the white hot, burning hatred of Buttigieg among younger progressives. But it is very much there.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersSean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende This MT-Sen scandal might just be an opening salvo that will get much worse but for now I suspect a hit piece from business insider about 15 year old Facebook pics probably helps in …May 1, 2021 · “The trouble is that in 95% of the country traveling by train is inefficient to the point of being a genuinely dumb choice.” Oct 30, 2018 · In this conversation. Verified account Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked …In a technology-driven world, it’s hard to stand out on social media sites. Check out which brands are taking over the media with the ultimate social media strategy. General Electric stays relevant with gorgeous Instagram photos and science...Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. I've been sitting on this since this AM, but since proper notifications are out: I'm sad to report that Prof. Bear Braumoeller passed away this AM. ... He didn't have to do that, and I'm forever grateful to him. He leaves behind a wife and 7-year-old daughter. 2/ 1. 25. Sean T at RCP is a free elf

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6:46 PM · Aug 28, 2021 · Twitter Web App. 98. Retweets. 354. Quote Tweets. 395. Likes. Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende ...“@Vermeullarmine Favorable in 2020, very favorable in 2022. But they are likely to only have one good cycle, because either Trump wins in 2020, or 2022 is a midterm with a Dem POTUS. If GOP gets up to 54, pretty good job of holding through 2024.”Sean T at RCP. SeanTrende. I once believed this first sentence. I don't anymore. To be sure, I love the "but Rubio had a boat" joke, but for serious analysis: Aside from Christie exposing Rubio Read more. So in the wake of my interview with @IChotiner and pieces the past couple of weeks, people have asked why I am bullish on Trump. The answer ...“@billscher @ThePlumLineGS I still think the biggest threats to Ds in a non-filibuster universe are things that can get to the core of their power infrastructure: national right to work, school vouchers, limits on public sector unions, tort reform, etc.”“Gen X is gonna get skipped over for presidents until we're 80 years old like the Silents. No respect.”Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton talks during a news conference following a win over the Green Bay Packers in an NFL football game Oct. 23, 2023, in Denver.[Sean T at RCP, RT'ed by Nate Cohn] Reminder: don’t be a crosstab truther. You’re dealing with small sample sizes, sometimes subjected to multidimensional weighting. They’re …Nov 8, 2022 · “Basic take on the Senate: There are 5 true tossups, with a handful of states on the periphery. Most of the R states have broken away in the last couple of weeks. So, for example, Budd v. Beasley might have been an upset pick, but it is going the wrong way. 1/” ….

Things will change, and the voters will get another say in two years. Sean Trende is senior elections analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is a co-author of the 2014 Almanac of American Politics and ...“We're reaching the end of the second quarter, which is when election outcomes are more-or-less baked in. At this point, you really have to have Republicans as overwhelming favorites to take the House with solid margins, and strong favorites to take the Senate.”“A dog and his boy.”It's pretty amazing that we have a grand total of 3 decent, non interest-group sponsored polls of Fetterman-Oz. 08 Aug 2022“OK, let's settle this: Worst Star Wars main storyline movie. I'll give my take at the end, but I do think a case can be made for any of these.”01 Nov 2022 23:09:39“The story that makes the most sense re the leak is actually Chief Justice Roberts, trying to illustrate to a swing justice what the backlash would be like. But it is also completely out of character for Roberts; burn the village to save the village isn't his style. So, no. 1/”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users Sean t rcp twitter, Oct 19, 2022 · “I think a lot of problems with Rhaenys Targaryen not incinerating the Greens comes from the weird gender politics the show has embraced. One of the interesting thing about GOT was it wasn't afraid to make the female characters as crazy and murderous as the men. 1/” , “@JenRodbowers @BenjySarlin The R won by 10 points in a district that went for Romney by 2 and Clinton by 7. I don't want to overstate the importance but I don't think you can just dismiss it as "the district leaned R anyway" either.”, Nov 7, 2018 · Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. It described it as being 100% in, but in fact, those precincts are partially reporting. There are eight counties still at ... , “@DavidNir @JMilesColeman @grace_panetta Larry Pressler once walked into a closet in a committee hearing instead of the exit and rather than admit his mistake he stayed in the closet for the duration of the hearing. Also, hard to believe that South Dakota was a 3-point race that year!”, In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users, “Look, it sounds like the debate is an utter disaster for him. But few will watch it, and it's a hard thing to go on the attack about without inspiring a backlash. This hurts Fetterman, but I don't think things have shifted all that dramatically.”, “@DamonLinker Except the GOP didn't accommodate Trump. He won the nomination. In part because the GOP establishment kept bickering among itself trying to find someone to go one-on-one with Trump, backing Jeb. for reasons known only to God, and splitting the opposition until it was too late.”, “@Izengabe_ @fawfulfan More to the point, the typical way we do a quick-and-dirty assessment of a state's political orientation is PVI, and Kentucky is a point redder than Vermont is blue. If one wants to make a nuanced critique of CPVI here that's fine, but at that point you've lost the plot.”, “Even just having Snoke hint that there's a larger force behind him, and maybe having Ren meet Palpatine at the end of Episode VIII as a cliffhanger and then giving the explanation of how in IX would fix quite a bit. And that then brings us to VIII. 9/”, In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @ Protected Tweets @, When stars like Bryan Cranston and Aaron Paul or Sean Hayes and Eric McCormack remind us that they're off-screen besties, it casts a warm glow over the legacy of their shows., Sean T at RCP. SeanTrende. ... My hot takes on contemporary Twitter discussions:(1) I think Trump is likely to lose. Maybe 1-in-5 chance he wins(?)(2) I don't think the 1988 example is terribly apposite; that was Read more. So my Poli Sci 1100 class from Fall '19 will remember -- or should! -- me saying that I thought the arg. in the Title VII ..., “This remains the key chart for how big GOP House gains will be: Biden vote share by the number of districts with that vote share. At R+3 or so nationally, the GOP starts to climb the levy that Democrats built with Biden +10 (or so) districts. 1/”, “@Izengabe_ @fawfulfan More to the point, the typical way we do a quick-and-dirty assessment of a state's political orientation is PVI, and Kentucky is a point redder than Vermont is blue. If one wants to make a nuanced critique of CPVI here that's fine, but at that point you've lost the plot.”, Jul 8, 2022 · “As I've said before, I think the alternatives offered up by the Tea Party purifiers and populists have largely been appalling. But if you look back over the past 40 years, its not hard to understand how this happened. 17/17” , “Think of it this way: We're in a river channel right now with levies on either side, and the river is rising. As long as we stay in the channel seat losses will be surprisingly muted. But if the river rises much higher, all hell breaks loose …, “@geoffreyvs Or at least, either Al Gore lost or Donald Trump lost, depending what the model claims to predict. Can't have picked them both correctly.”, Theresa M. Caridi; Cynthia De la Garza-Ramos; Olga R. Brook; Lee A. Learman; Jessica Opoku-Anane; Debbie Phipps; and others. Cited in Scopus: 2., Aug 31, 2020 · Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "Oh. My. God.… " Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende Follow @SeanTrende Oh. My. God. 7:29 AM - 31 Aug 2020 1,201 Retweets 10,113 Likes 848 replies 1,201 retweets 10,113 likes Teddy Fusaro @teddyfuse 31 Aug 2020 Replying to @SeanTrende this can't be real! 1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes 1 8 Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende 31 Aug 2020 , In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users, Married to. @emytrende. , dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. Sean T at RCP is a free elf. 2020/03/19/coronavirus-effect-economy-life-society …, “@GreenPastelRed @mjs_DC @Slate Sure! It’s also possible that Roberts blinked in Kisor and is having Kagan write a narrow opinion. Lots of possibilities.”, Nov 2, 2021 · “McAuliffe starting to get some more results above the line. Also, moving the threshold up to 85% reporting. City of Richmond hasn't started to come in yet, and Fairfax is still largely outstanding. This is still very interesting.” , “On hearsay: First, it doesn't matter for right now, because this isn't a trial. At the same time, the hearsay rule isn't just some legal mumbo-jumbo, it's rooted in the common sense notion that you're more skeptical of evidence offered second- …, “Oh FFS. 1/”, “And we're probably just interested in that statement for the actual fact that Trump tried to commandeer the Secret Service vehicle. Now there are about a billion exceptions to the hearsay rule. 6/”, “The trouble is that in 95% of the country traveling by train is inefficient to the point of being a genuinely dumb choice.”, Log in. Sign up , “@geoffreyvs Or at least, either Al Gore lost or Donald Trump lost, depending what the model claims to predict. Can't have picked them both correctly.”, Log in. Sign up, So we were probably already headed for a significant shift in seats, compounded by this. Add in that there's probably going to be a substantial movement of populations *within* states, and things are going to get bad, real quick. 2/, Mar 29, 2018 · In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users , Log in. Sign up